Bag A contains 3 white, 7 red balls and Bag B contains 3 white, 2 red balls. One bag is selected at random and a ball is drawn from it. The probability of drawing the ball from the bag A, if the ball drawn is white, is
- 1/4
- 1/3
- 3/10
- 1/9
Answer
(2) 1/3
Solution
E1: bag A chosen, E2: bag B chosen, W: white ball drawn
P(W 1)= 310, P(W 2)= 35, P(E1)=P(E2)= 12
∵ Bayes' theorem:
P(E1 )= 12 310 12 310+ 12 35= 33+6= 13
Answer: (2)